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弱市之下誰跑贏了大盤?

來源: 南方日報網絡版     時間: 2019年05月28日 08:07:57
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(原)(標)(題)(:券)(商)(自)(營)(盤)(探)(秘)(:弱)(市)(之)(下)(誰)(跑)(贏)(了)(大)(盤)(?
  王)(娟)(娟)(張)(婧)(熠)(
[已)(披)(露)(中)(報)(的)(19家)(上)(市)(券)(商)(中)(,有)(10家)(自)(營)(收)(益)(同)(比)(飄)(紅)(,部)(分)(則)(自)(營)(收)(益)(同)(比)(較)(大)(幅)(度)(下)(跌)(,走)(出)(了)(冰)(火)(兩)(重)(天)(的)(分)(化)(。這)(種)(分)(化)(還)(表)(現)(在)(,踩)(中)(債)(券)(階)(段)(小)(牛)(者)(自)(營)(收)(益)(可)(觀)(,而)(重)(倉)(權)(益)(的)(則)(可)(能)(出)(現)(較)(大)(回)(撤)(]
正)(在)(披)(露)(中)(的)(券)(商)(中)(報)(里)(,自)(營)(業)(務)(收)(益)(出)(現)(了)(有)(趣)(的)(分)(化)(。買)(股)(還)(是)(買)(債)(,決)(定)(了)(上)(半)(年)(券)(商)(自)(營)(盤)(的)(不)(同)(結)(局)(。
第)(一)(財)(經)(記)(者)(統)(計)(,已)(披)(露)(中)(報)(的)(19家)(上)(市)(券)(商)(中)(,第)(一)(創)(業)(、華)(西)(證)(券)(、中)(金)(公)(司)(、申)(萬)(宏)(源)(、中)(信)(建)(投)(等)(10家)(自)(營)(收)(益)(同)(比)(飄)(紅)(,而)(國)(信)(證)(券)(、興)(業)(證)(券)(、國)(元)(證)(券)(等)(則)(自)(營)(收)(益)(同)(比)(較)(大)(幅)(度)(下)(跌)(,走)(出)(了)(冰)(火)(兩)(重)(天)(的)(分)(化)(。這)(種)(分)(化)(還)(表)(現)(在)(,踩)(中)(債)(券)(階)(段)(小)(牛)(者)(自)(營)(收)(益)(可)(觀)(,而)(重)(倉)(權)(益)(的)(則)(可)(能)(出)(現)(較)(大)(回)(撤)(。
弱)(市)(之)(下)(謀)(生)(存)(,券)(商)(也)(半)(推)(半)(就)(地)(加)(快)(了)(業)(務)(結)(構)(的)(調)(整)(,表)(現)(在)(自)(營)(上)(是)(除)(了)(傳)(統)(的)(固)(收)(和)(權)(益)(類)(投)(資)(力)(求)(押)(準)(市)(場)(周)(期)(波)(動)(,具)(備)(業)(務)(資)(質)(和)(資)(本)(金)(優)(勢)(的)(券)(商)(也)(已)(開)(始)(增)(加)(多)(元)(化)(投)(資)(策)(略)(,開)(啟)(了)(衍)(生)(品)(交)(易)(等)(非)(方)(向)(性)(的)(轉)(型)(。
自)(營)(兩)(重)(天)(
大)(勢)(低)(迷)(,自)(營)(業)(務)(越)(發)(成)(為)(劃)(分)(上)(半)(年)(券)(商)(業)(績)(好)(壞)(的)(“關)(鍵)(分)(子)(”,與)(收)(入)(的)(走)(向)(呈)(現)(出)(越)(來)(越)(大)(的)(正)(相)(關)(。
有)(證)(券)(行)(業)(分)(析)(師)(告)(訴)(記)(者)(,目)(前)(,行)(業)(研)(究)(通)(常)(是)(用)(投)(資)(收)(益)(與)(公)(允)(價)(值)(兩)(個)(科)(目)(相)(加)(,來)(比)(較)(各)(大)(券)(商)(自)(營)(的)(投)(資)(收)(益)(。但)(是)(投)(資)(收)(益)(科)(目)(里)(,大)(部)(分)(是)(金)(融)(工)(具)(持)(有)(期)(間)(的)(收)(益)(,相)(當)(于)(股)(息)(和)(利)(息)(的)(收)(入)(,體)(現)(不)(了)(券)(商)(主)(動)(管)(理)(能)(力)(。
更)(細)(節)(一)(點)(看)(,在)(老)(會)(計)(準)(則)(下)(,行)(業)(研)(究)(會)(以)(公)(允)(價)(值)(變)(動)((可)(供)(出)(售)(金)(融)(資)(產)(中)(的)(公)(允)(價)(值)(變)(動)(+利)(潤)(表)(里)(的)(公)(允)(價)(值)(變)(動)()來)(更)(為)(客)(觀)(地)(衡)(量)(券)(商)(自)(營)(的)(主)(動)(管)(理)(能)(力)(。而)(新)(的)(會)(計)(準)(則)(下)(,則)(以)(利)(潤)(表)(中)(公)(允)(價)(值)(變)(動)(損)(失)(、其)(他)(綜)(合)(收)(益)(各)(項)(公)(允)(價)(值)(變)(動)(之)(和)(,作)(為)(整)(體)(公)(允)(價)(值)(的)(考)(量)(。
以)(中)(報)(披)(露)(來)(看)(,目)(前)(中)(信)(證)(券)(、興)(業)(證)(券)(、中)(信)(建)(投)(等)(A+H股)(上)(市)(券)(商)(均)(采)(用)(了)(新)(的)(會)(計)(準)(則)(,而)(這)(也)(導)(致)(了)(各)(家)(報)(表)(出)(現)(數)(據)(分)(化)(。
在)(此)(背)(景)(下)(,記)(者)(統)(計)(了)(各)(大)(券)(商)(的)(投)(資)(收)(益)(和)(公)(允)(價)(值)(變)(動)(,并)(計)(算)(出)(自)(營)(投)(資)(收)(益)(率)(,以)(求)(更)(為)(客)(觀)(地)(比)(較)(上)(市)(券)(商)(自)(營)(賺)(錢)(功)(力)(。
數)(據)(顯)(示)(,截)(至)(記)(者)(發)(稿)(,已)(發)(布)(中)(報)(的)(19家)(上)(市)(券)(商)(中)(,第)(一)(創)(業)(、華)(西)(證)(券)(、中)(金)(公)(司)(、申)(萬)(宏)(源)(、中)(信)(建)(投)(等)(10家)(自)(營)(收)(益)(同)(比)(飄)(紅)(,而)(國)(信)(證)(券)(、興)(業)(證)(券)(、國)(元)(證)(券)(等)(則)(自)(營)(收)(益)(同)(比)(較)(大)(幅)(度)(下)(跌)(,走)(出)(了)(冰)(火)(兩)(重)(天)(的)(趨)(勢)(。
跟)(2017年)(上)(半)(年)(相)(比)(,大)(部)(分)(券)(商)(自)(營)(收)(益)(率)(并)(不)(那)(么)(好)(看)(,國)(信)(證)(券)(、財)(通)(證)(券)(、興)(業)(證)(券)(、浙)(商)(證)(券)(等)(12家)(均)(出)(現)(了)(收)(益)(率)(不)(同)(程)(度)(下)(滑)(。
中)(信)(證)(券)(自)(營)(業)(務)(上)(半)(年)(拔)(得)(頭)(籌)(,實)(現)(收)(入)(53.34億)(元)(,較)(去)(年)(同)(期)(增)(加)(了)(18.33%。而)(同)(期)(中)(信)(證)(券)(總)(的)(營)(業)(收)(入)(共)(計)(199.93億)(元)(,也)(就)(是)(說)(中)(信)(證)(券)(每)(入)(賬)(四)(元)(其)(中)(一)(元)(就)(來)(自)(自)(營)(收)(入)(。按)(中)(信)(證)(券)(披)(露)(,上)(半)(年)(“證)(券)(投)(資)(業)(務)(”貢)(獻)(收)(入)(47.41億)(元)(,同)(比)(增)(長)(50.65%。而)(同)(期)(經)(紀)(業)(務)(雖)(總)(體)(收)(入)(51.08億)(元)(,量)(多)(過)(證)(券)(投)(資)(業)(務)(,但)(同)(比)(卻)(下)(滑)(1.45%。
緊)(隨)(其)(后)(的)(另)(一)(家)(百)(億)(級)(券)(商)(——國)(泰)(君)(安)(自)(營)(收)(益)(和)(凈)(利)(潤)(同)(時)(出)(現)(下)(滑)(。國)(泰)(君)(安)(上)(半)(年)(歸)(屬)(母)(公)(司)(凈)(利)(潤)(為)(40.09億)(元)(,同)(比)(下)(滑)(15.71%。自)(營)(投)(資)(收)(益)(為)(30.77億)(元)(,同)(比)(下)(滑)(了)(18.99%。
國)(信)(證)(券)(與)(興)(業)(證)(券)(則)(屬)(于)(大)(中)(券)(商)(陣)(營)(中)(自)(營)(收)(益)(跌)(幅)(居)(前)(者)(。國)(信)(證)(券)(上)(半)(年)(投)(資)(與)(交)(易)(業)(務)(共)(實)(現)(營)(業)(收)(入)(-2.40億)(元)(,同)(比)(下)(降)(了)(147.84%。數)(據)(顯)(示)(,國)(信)(證)(券)(上)(半)(年)(自)(營)(盤)(規)(模)(已)(縮)(水)(逾)(三)(成)(,跌)(至)(約)(440億)(元)(。
去)(年)(同)(期)(依)(靠)(投)(資)(業)(務)(業)(績)(亮)(眼)(的)(興)(業)(證)(券)(,今)(年)(也)(遭)(遇)(了)(同)(樣)(的)(情)(況)(。興)(業)(證)(券)(上)(半)(年)(自)(營)(收)(益)(約)(10.05億)(元)(,較)(去)(年)(同)(期)(下)(降)(41.09%,主)(要)(系)(公)(司)(證)(券)(投)(資)(業)(務)(收)(入)(下)(滑)(。為)(破)(局)(,興)(業)(證)(券)(已)(加)(大)(債)(券)(配)(置)(,可)(供)(出)(售)(的)(金)(融)(資)(產)(同)(比)(增)(厚)(約)(三)(成)(,6月)(末)(達)(到)(了)(312.18億)(元)(。
弱)(市)(謀)(求)(多)(元)(化)(“上)(半)(年)(股)(債)(開)(始)(分)(化)(,部)(分)(券)(商)(在)(上)(半)(年)(降)(低)(權)(益)(類)(配)(置)(、提)(高)(非)(權)(益)(類)(的)(配)(置)(,踩)(準)(了)(市)(場)(周)(期)(,自)(營)(收)(益)(就)(很)(可)(觀)(。但)(也)(有)(券)(商)(上)(半)(年)(的)(非)(權)(益)(類)(配)(置)(倉)(位)(不)(夠)(,或)(者)(甚)(至)(提)(高)(了)(權)(益)(類)(的)(倉)(位)(,按)(照)(上)(半)(年)(的)(行)(情)(走)(勢)(,自)(營)(收)(益)(就)(會)(差)(一)(點)(。”東)(興)(證)(券)(非)(銀)(研)(究)(員)(向)(第)(一)(財)(經)(表)(示)(。
這)(一)(觀)(點)(也)(得)(到)(自)(營)(業)(務)(人)(士)(的)(認)(同)(。某)(券)(商)(自)(營)(內)(部)(人)(士)(透)(露)(,公)(司)(自)(營)(收)(入)(在)(上)(半)(年)(出)(現)(大)(幅)(下)(滑)(,最)(主)(要)(原)(因)(就)(是)(權)(益)(類)(倉)(位)(較)(重)(,一)(度)(出)(現)(較)(大)(的)(回)(撤)(。“上)(半)(年)(行)(業)(里)(有)(券)(商)(自)(營)(收)(入)(大)(漲)(,一)(方)(面)(是)(因)(為)(去)(年)(自)(營)(收)(入)(基)(數)(低)(,另)(一)(方)(面)(是)(上)(半)(年)(債)(券)(收)(益)(不)(錯)(,增)(加)(了)(非)(權)(益)(配)(置)(的)(自)(營)(盤)(收)(入)(增)(幅)(就)(更)(加)(明)(顯)(。”
但)(值)(得)(注)(意)(的)(是)(,在)(憑)(借)(自)(營)(收)(入)(助)(力)(而)(實)(現)(業)(績)(增)(長)(的)(券)(商)(中)(,押)(準)(市)(場)(波)(動)(并)(不)(是)(唯)(一)(的)(策)(略)(。
以)(中)(信)(證)(券)(為)(例)(,中)(報)(顯)(示)(,公)(司)(上)(半)(年)(實)(現)(營)(業)(收)(入)(199.92億)(元)(,同)(比)(增)(長)(6.94%;歸)(母)(凈)(利)(潤)(55.65億)(元)(,同)(比)(增)(長)(12.96%,繼)(續)(在)(行)(業)(內)(領)(跑)(。具)(體)(業)(務)(方)(面)(,證)(券)(投)(資)(業)(務)(實)(現)(收)(入)(47.41億)(元)(,同)(比)(增)(長)(50.65%,自)(營)(業)(務)(成)(為)(業)(績)(增)(長)(最)(大)(驅)(動)(力)(。
衍)(生)(品)(交)(易)(和)(債)(券)(配)(置)(,是)(助)(推)(中)(信)(證)(券)(自)(營)(收)(入)(大)(漲)(的)(主)(要)(原)(因)(。中)(報)(顯)(示)(,中)(信)(證)(券)(自)(營)(權)(益)(類)(證)(券)(及)(證)(券)(衍)(生)(品)(占)(凈)(資)(本)(比)(重)(,從)(年)(初)(的)(33.23%降)(低)(至)(31.78%,但)(非)(權)(益)(類)(占)(比)(從)(124.35%增)(長)(至)(172.5%。此)(外)(,在)(公)(司)(上)(半)(年)(公)(允)(價)(值)(變)(動)(收)(益)(32.39億)(元)(中)(,交)(易)(型)(金)(融)(資)(產)(虧)(損)(45.62億)(元)(,而)(衍)(生)(金)(融)(工)(具)(收)(益)(高)(達)(62.08億)(元)(。
“非)(方)(向)(性)(的)(自)(營)(投)(資)(是)(大)(的)(趨)(勢)(,持)(倉)(集)(中)(、股)(票)(偏)(好)(明)(顯)(等)(自)(營)(投)(資)(,慢)(慢)(不)(再)(會)(是)(行)(業)(主)(流)(。”東)(興)(證)(券)(研)(究)(員)(表)(示)(,以)(往)(券)(商)(自)(營)(呈)(現)(了)(明)(顯)(的)(方)(向)(性)(投)(資)(風)(格)(,即)(行)(情)(好)(則)(自)(營)(好)(、業)(績)(更)(好)(,市)(場)(差)(則)(自)(營)(差)(、業)(績)(更)(差)(。但)(目)(前)(很)(多)(大)(券)(商)(開)(始)(加)(強)(非)(方)(向)(性)(投)(資)(,比)(如)(利)(用)(場)(外)(期)(權)(業)(務)(和)(資)(本)(金)(優)(勢)(進)(行)(自)(營)(投)(資)(,減)(少)(市)(場)(周)(期)(波)(動)(對)(自)(營)(收)(益)(的)(沖)(擊)(和)(影)(響)(。
中)(信)(證)(券)(在)(中)(報)(里)(也)(強)(調)(,上)(半)(年)(股)(票)(自)(營)(業)(務)(根)(據)(市)(場)(變)(化)(,強)(化)(了)(倉)(位)(管)(理)(,嚴)(格)(管)(理)(市)(場)(風)(險)(,將)(市)(場)(波)(動)(帶)(來)(的)(風)(險)(盡)(量)(控)(制)(在)(較)(低)(范)(圍)(。同)(時)(另)(類)(投)(資)(業)(務)(積)(極)(應)(對)(市)(場)(變)(化)(,靈)(活)(運)(用)(各)(種)(金)(融)(工)(具)(和)(衍)(生)(品)(進)(行)(風)(險)(管)(理)(,開)(拓)(多)(市)(場)(多)(元)(化)(的)(投)(資)(策)(略)(,有)(效)(分)(散)(了)(投)(資)(風)(險)(,克)(服)(了)(市)(場)(下)(跌)(帶)(來)(的)(不)(利)(影)(響)(。
上)(半)(年)(為)(數)(不)(多)(的)(凈)(利)(潤)(正)(增)(長)(的)(券)(商)(中)(,申)(萬)(宏)(源)(亦)(是)(受)(益)(于)(自)(營)(收)(入)(增)(長)(。中)(報)(顯)(示)(,申)(萬)(宏)(源)(投)(資)(收)(益)(與)(公)(允)(價)(值)(變)(動)(收)(益)(合)(計)(實)(現)(21.66億)(元)(,同)(比)(增)(加)(5.86億)(元)(、增)(長)(37.06%。從)(收)(入)(結)(構)(上)(看)(,投)(資)(收)(益)(與)(公)(允)(價)(值)(變)(動)(收)(益)(合)(計)(占)(比)(35.66%,同)(比)(增)(加)(了)(9.59個)(百)(分)(點)(。
“2018年)(上)(半)(年)(,公)(司)(投)(資)(交)(易)(業)(務)(繼)(續)(推)(進)(傳)(統)(自)(營)(向)(綜)(合)(交)(易)(、協)(同)(服)(務)(的)(戰)(略)(目)(標)(轉)(型)(。在)(可)(交)(換)(債)(券)(和)(ABS投)(資)(、策)(略)(多)(元)(化)(投)(資)(、大)(類)(資)(產)(配)(置)(組)(合)(、場)(外)(衍)(生)(品)(等)(方)(面)(進)(行)(了)(戰)(略)(布)(局)(。固)(定)(收)(益)(類)(投)(資)(把)(握)(市)(場)(變)(化)(,通)(過)(多)(品)(種)(交)(易)(增)(厚)(收)(益)(,增)(加)(低)(風)(險)(業)(務)(收)(入)(。積)(極)(籌)(備)(跨)(境)(業)(務)(、上)(交)(所)(場)(內)(期)(權)(做)(市)(業)(務)(、場)(外)(期)(權)(二)(級)(交)(易)(商)(資)(格)(備)(案)(和)(一)(級)(交)(易)(商)(申)(請)(、滬)(倫)(通)(業)(務)(資)(格)(準)(備)(各)(項)(工)(作)(。”申)(萬)(宏)(源)(在)(中)(報)(里)(稱)(。
東)(興)(證)(券)(研)(究)(員)(預)(計)(,未)(來)(券)(商)(自)(營)(將)(更)(多)(采)(用)(非)(方)(向)(性)(的)(投)(資)(,規)(模)(和)(杠)(桿)(都)(會)(出)(現)(齊)(升)(的)(趨)(勢)(。但)(這)(種)(轉)(型)(對)(券)(商)(也)(提)(出)(了)(新)(的)(要)(求)(,包)(括)(資)(本)(金)(充)(足)(、具)(備)(高)(效)(的)(投)(研)(體)(系)(和)(交)(易)(能)(力)(等)(。相)(比)(而)(言)(,具)(備)(業)(務)(資)(質)(和)(資)(本)(金)(優)(勢)(的)(大)(券)(商)(將)(具)(備)(明)(顯)(優)(勢)(,中)(小)(券)(商)(自)(營)(表)(現)(可)(能)(會)(出)(現)(進)(一)(步)(分)(化)(。
(第)(一)(財)(經)(記)(者)(尹)(婧)(霏)(對)(本)(文)(亦)(有)(貢)(獻)()返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(責)(任)(編)(輯)(:
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