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空方傷不起!看機構如何解讀歐元暴力上漲

來源: 南方日報網絡版     時間: 2019年08月21日 05:06:15
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(原)(標)(題)(:空)(方)(傷)(不)(起)(!看)(機)(構)(如)(何)(解)(讀)(歐)(元)(暴)(力)(上)(漲)(
周)(四)((6月)(29日)()亞)(市)(盤)(中)(,歐)(元)(兌)(美)(元)(于)(平)(盤)(附)(近)(窄)(幅)(震)(蕩)(后)(延)(續)(前)(兩)(個)(交)(易)(日)(的)(暴)(力)(上)(漲)(節)(奏)(,站)(上)(1.14關)(口)(后)(最)(高)(摸)(至)(1.1419,現)(回)(吐)(部)(分)(漲)(幅)(,交)(投)(于)(1.1406一)(線)(。周)(二)((6月)(27日)()立)(場)(一)(向)(鴿)(派)(的)(歐)(洲)(央)(行)(行)(長)(德)(拉)(基)(發)(表)(鷹)(派)(講)(話)(,且)(近)(日)(美)(國)(數)(據)(表)(現)(不)(佳)(,令)(看)(漲)(歐)(元)(熱)(情)(驟)(增)(,在)(連)(破)(1.13和)(1.14關)(口)(后)(,周)(四)(亞)(市)(再)(度)(刷)(新)(近)(一)(年)(高)(位)(至)(1.1419,不)(過)(各)(大)(投)(行)(對)(歐)(元)(前)(景)(的)(看)(法)(莫)(衷)(一)(是)(,具)(體)(如)(下)(。
野)(村)(:歐)(元)(兌)(澳)(元)(和)(歐)(元)(兌)(紐)(元)(料)(均)(續)(漲)(野)(村)(證)(券)((Nomura)預)(計)(,歐)(元)(兌)(澳)(元)(和)(歐)(元)(兌)(紐)(元)(將)(進)(一)(步)(上)(漲)(,二)(者)(在)(回)(撤)(時)(料)(受)(支)(撐)(。歐)(元)(兌)(澳)(元)(或)(再)(度)(上)(測)(6月)(初)(高)(點)(,也)(就)(是)(說)(,此)(輪)(上)(漲)(速)(度)(料)(不)(及)(4月)(及)(5月)(底)(。基)(于)(對)(紐)(元)(更)(顯)(謹)(慎)(的)(立)(場)(,歐)(元)(兌)(紐)(元)(也)(存)(更)(大)(上)(行)(潛)(能)(。歐)(洲)(央)(行)(正)(常)(化)(貨)(幣)(政)(策)(進)(程)(逐)(步)(臨)(近)(,歐)(元)(對)(經)(濟)(數)(據)(表)(現)(的)(敏)(感)(度)(將)(提)(升)(,盡)(管)(仍)(看)(好)(歐)(元)(區)(經)(濟)(增)(長)(,但)(其)(經)(濟)(數)(據)(不)(大)(可)(能)(持)(續)(向)(好)(。美)(銀)(:歐)(元)(錄)(得)(逾)(一)(年)(來)(最)(大)(漲)(幅)(,續)(漲)(之)(勢)(料)(持)(續)(美)(銀)(美)(林)((BofAML)指)(出)(,周)(二)(歐)(元)(兌)(美)(元)(錄)(得)(逾)(一)(年)(來)(最)(大)(單)(日)(漲)(幅)(,漲)(幅)(超)(過)(1.4%,令)(人)(回)(想)(起)(了)(2016年)(6月)(3日)(的)(大)(漲)(行)(情)(,當)(時)(美)(國)(公)(布)(了)(令)(人)(大)(跌)(眼)(睛)(的)(非)(農)(就)(業)(報)(告)(,歐)(元)(兌)(美)(元)(應)(聲)(大)(漲)(1.94%。不)(過)(此)(次)(情)(況)(有)(所)(不)(同)(,歐)(元)(此)(輪)(上)(漲)(由)(德)(拉)(基)(的)(鷹)(派)(言)(論)(提)(振)(,且)(似)(乎)(未)(受)(美)(聯)(儲)(主)(席)(耶)(倫)(的)(鴿)(派)(措)(辭)(影)(響)(。匯)(通)(網)(指)(出)(,周)(二)(德)(拉)(基)(罕)(見)(發)(表)(鷹)(派)(言)(論)(,稱)(抑)(制)(通)(脹)(的)(因)(素)(都)(是)(暫)(時)(的)(,需)(要)(漸)(進)(調)(整)(政)(策)(,央)(行)(政)(策)(正)(在)(奏)(效)(,可)(保)(證)(歐)(元)(區)(經)(濟)(的)(可)(持)(續)(增)(長)(,對)(此)(充)(滿)(信)(心)(。歐)(元)(自)(1.11-1.13區)(間)(的)(調)(整)(乍)(看)(起)(來)(顯)(得)(漲)(勢)(過)(度)(,但)(料)(續)(漲)(,支)(撐)(位)(依)(次)(位)(于)(1.1280和)(1.1195附)(近)(,阻)(力)(位)(依)(次)(位)(于)(1.1425和)(1.1535附)(近)(。歐)(元)(兌)(日)(元)(方)(面)(,從)(以)(往)(經)(驗)(來)(看)(,127附)(近)(點)(位)(難)(以)(上)(破)(,不)(過)(近)(兩)(個)(交)(易)(日)(連)(續)(上)(破)(127和)(128關)(口)(,上)(行)(方)(面)(,阻)(力)(位)(位)(于)(129.60附)(近)(點)(位)(,下)(行)(方)(面)(,支)(撐)(位)(依)(次)(位)(于)(125.75和)(123.60附)(近)(點)(位)(。法)(農)(:歐)(元)(續)(漲)(之)(勢)(能)(否)(持)(續)(,還)(得)(通)(過)(6月)(通)(脹)(考)(驗)(法)(國)(農)(業)(信)(貸)((CreditAgricole)表)(示)(,近)(期)(德)(拉)(基)(的)(鷹)(派)(講)(話)(和)(歐)(元)(潛)(在)(的)(上)(行)(空)(間)(取)(決)(于)(兩)(大)(預)(期)(的)(可)(信)(度)(:1、歐)(元)(區)(通)(脹)(預)(期)(仍)(為)(堅)(定)(瞄)(定)(的)(;2、歐)(元)(區)(菲)(利)(普)(曲)(線)(仍)(表)(現)(良)(好)(,因)(此)(逐)(步)(消)(失)(的)(產)(能)(缺)(口)(將)(最)(終)(提)(振)(薪)(資)(增)(長)(。北)(京)(時)(間)(周)(五)((6月)(30日)()17:00將)(公)(布)(歐)(元)(區)(6月)(未)(季)(調)(CPI,將)(對)(上)(述)(預)(期)(做)(出)(初)(步)(檢)(測)(。尤)(為)(特)(別)(的)(是)(,分)(析)(顯)(示)(若)(歐)(元)(兌)(美)(元)(再)(度)(漲)(向)(1.15-1.16附)(近)(高)(位)(,可)(能)(在)(未)(來)(十)(二)(個)(月)(內)(令)(歐)(元)(區)(調)(和)(消)(費)(者)(物)(價)(指)(數)(續)(跌)(近)(0.3%。若)(歐)(元)(持)(續)(升)(值)(,可)(能)(迫)(使)(歐)(洲)(央)(行)(不)(久)(后)(再)(度)(考)(慮)(通)(脹)(前)(景)(,或)(令)(歐)(元)(回)(吐)(部)(分)(漲)(幅)(。道)(明)(:歐)(元)(上)(破)(關)(鍵)(技)(術)(點)(位)(,但)(漲)(勢)(或)(自)(我)(消)(亡)(道)(明)(證)(券)((TD)表)(示)(,由)(于)(歐)(元)(已)(上)(破)(關)(鍵)(技)(術)(點)(位)(,歐)(洲)(央)(行)(將)(謹)(慎)(對)(待)(強)(勢)(歐)(元)(對)(歐)(元)(區)(通)(脹)(可)(能)(帶)(來)(的)(沖)(擊)(,暗)(示)(此)(輪)(漲)(勢)(或)(最)(終)(自)(我)(消)(亡)(。據)(FX678觀)(察)(,該)(行)(指)(出)(,值)(得)(注)(意)(的)(是)(,歐)(元)(名)(義)(有)(效)(匯)(率)(已)(上)(漲)(3.2%,續)(漲)(或)(迫)(使)(歐)(洲)(央)(行)(出)(手)(打)(壓)(,因)(其)(仍)(對)(通)(脹)(持)(謹)(慎)(立)(場)(。匯)(通)(財)(經)(易)(匯)(通)(行)(情)(軟)(件)(顯)(示)(,北)(京)(時)(間)(11:44,歐)(元)(兌)(美)(元)(報)(1.1403/05。正)(文)(出)(處)(:http://news.fx678.com/C/20170629/201706291127131908.shtml返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
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